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楼主 |
发表于 5-2-2009 10:46 PM
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发表于 5-2-2009 10:47 PM
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两位大大可以教教小弟如何看news的吗?
其实有效吗?  |
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楼主 |
发表于 5-2-2009 10:48 PM
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楼主 |
发表于 5-2-2009 10:50 PM
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发表于 5-2-2009 11:26 PM
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楼主 |
发表于 5-2-2009 11:48 PM
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发表于 5-2-2009 11:56 PM
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楼主 |
发表于 6-2-2009 12:08 AM
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发表于 6-2-2009 12:14 AM
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发表于 6-2-2009 12:46 AM
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发表于 6-2-2009 09:35 AM
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楼主 |
发表于 6-2-2009 10:15 AM
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STOP THE PRESSES
As the market chatter centered upon stop losses below 1.2800 in EUR/USD and 1.4400 in GBP/USD (not to mention under .6400 in AUD/USD), the short term market once again got behooved on false breaks…Both EUR/USD (1.2793) and GBP/USD (1.4365) provided some serious head fakes while AUD/USD paid no mind to play the stop loss game (.6401 low)….With the BoE and ECB due to make their rate decisions this morning, it shouldn’t come as that big of a surprise that a plethora of central banks (i.e. the usual suspects) were seen in the market selling USD’s aggressively…And now that the BoE has cut 50 basis points (as expected) and the ECB has kept rates steady (as expected) perhaps the tide will finally turn for the greenback since most of the USD selling may already be factored in….We still have US Initial Jobless Claims and Canadian Ivey due out today and of course tomorrow’s major US NFP Report so look for continuous action over the next few days
FLOWS
· Talk of Eastern Europe selling EUR/USD again with Asian real money buying near 1.2800
· Supposed exporter sellers around 90.00 area in USD/JPY as technical accounts bought the break..Reserve mangers said to be seen buying around 89.35
· Allegedly Middle Eastern accounts trying to sell NZD/USD around .5150
· Macro names reportedly bought GBP/JPY post Boe and option names aggressively bought EUR/GBP downside puts..German names been buying GBP/USD since the London morning
FLAVOR OF THE DAY
· 55 hour moving average at 1.2901
· London high was 1.2905
· 1.2793 was the Asian low
· 1.2935 was yesterday’s high
THE ONE TO WATCH
We look for 1.2925-50 to still be key for the EUR/USD on the topside and will watch 1.2785-50 for the downside..Look for stop losses on both sides of the market with choppy conditions continuing to dominate.. As far as fresh trade ideas go selling EUR/USD at 1.2845-50 with a 1.2900 stop and 1.2760 objective seems reasonable for a short term punt
Dave Leaver
尽管市场广泛臆测EURUSD在1.2800下方的止损以及GBPUSD相对的1.4400(AUDUSD 在0.6400下方),短线账户持续受到假突破的打击,其中EURUSD在1.2793提供了很好的支撑,GBPUSD在1.4365也有很强的支撑,AUDUSD也对止损玩法兴趣缺缺(低位为0.6401)。如今英国与欧洲央行都已一如预期宣布其利率政策,其中英国降息50基点,欧洲央行按兵不动,市场先前卖美元的举动也许将转向。今天我们还有失业金申请人数以及加拿大的制造业数据,明天则有最重要的美国就业报告,因此,未来几日市场预期仍将剧烈波动。
汇市动向
¨ 东欧再度卖出EURUSD,亚洲真实资金于1.2800附近买入
¨ 外销业者于90.00附近卖出USDJPY,技术账户于破位买入,储备经理据传于89.35附近买入
¨ 据传东欧试图在0.5150附近卖出NZDUSD
¨ 基本账户于英国央行宣布利率政策后,买入GBPJPY,期权业者积极买入EURGBP放空期权,德国今晨持续买入GBPUSD
今日分析
¨ 55小时均线为1.2901
¨ 伦敦盘高位1.2905
¨ 1.2793为亚洲盘低位
¨ 1.2935为昨日高点
关注焦点
我们预期EURUSD看涨的关键价位为1.2935-50,看跌价位为1.2785-50,两边都可能有止损的巨幅波动。在交易策略方面,短期想法可于1.2845-50放空,止损于1.2900,目标1.2760。 |
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楼主 |
发表于 6-2-2009 10:16 AM
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STOP THE PRESSES
As the market chatter centered upon stop losses below 1.2800 in EUR/USD and 1.4400 in GBP/USD (not to mention under .6400 in AUD/USD), the short term market once again got behooved on false breaks…Both EUR/USD (1.2793) and GBP/USD (1.4365) provided some serious head fakes while AUD/USD paid no mind to play the stop loss game (.6401 low)….With the BoE and ECB due to make their rate decisions this morning, it shouldn’t come as that big of a surprise that a plethora of central banks (i.e. the usual suspects) were seen in the market selling USD’s aggressively…And now that the BoE has cut 50 basis points (as expected) and the ECB has kept rates steady (as expected) perhaps the tide will finally turn for the greenback since most of the USD selling may already be factored in….We still have US Initial Jobless Claims and Canadian Ivey due out today and of course tomorrow’s major US NFP Report so look for continuous action over the next few days
FLOWS
· Talk of Eastern Europe selling EUR/USD again with Asian real money buying near 1.2800
· Supposed exporter sellers around 90.00 area in USD/JPY as technical accounts bought the break..Reserve mangers said to be seen buying around 89.35
· Allegedly Middle Eastern accounts trying to sell NZD/USD around .5150
· Macro names reportedly bought GBP/JPY post Boe and option names aggressively bought EUR/GBP downside puts..German names been buying GBP/USD since the London morning
FLAVOR OF THE DAY
· 55 hour moving average at 1.2901
· London high was 1.2905
· 1.2793 was the Asian low
· 1.2935 was yesterday’s high
THE ONE TO WATCH
We look for 1.2925-50 to still be key for the EUR/USD on the topside and will watch 1.2785-50 for the downside..Look for stop losses on both sides of the market with choppy conditions continuing to dominate.. As far as fresh trade ideas go selling EUR/USD at 1.2845-50 with a 1.2900 stop and 1.2760 objective seems reasonable for a short term punt
Dave Leaver
尽管市场广泛臆测EURUSD在1.2800下方的止损以及GBPUSD相对的1.4400(AUDUSD 在0.6400下方),短线账户持续受到假突破的打击,其中EURUSD在1.2793提供了很好的支撑,GBPUSD在1.4365也有很强的支撑,AUDUSD也对止损玩法兴趣缺缺(低位为0.6401)。如今英国与欧洲央行都已一如预期宣布其利率政策,其中英国降息50基点,欧洲央行按兵不动,市场先前卖美元的举动也许将转向。今天我们还有失业金申请人数以及加拿大的制造业数据,明天则有最重要的美国就业报告,因此,未来几日市场预期仍将剧烈波动。
汇市动向
¨ 东欧再度卖出EURUSD,亚洲真实资金于1.2800附近买入
¨ 外销业者于90.00附近卖出USDJPY,技术账户于破位买入,储备经理据传于89.35附近买入
¨ 据传东欧试图在0.5150附近卖出NZDUSD
¨ 基本账户于英国央行宣布利率政策后,买入GBPJPY,期权业者积极买入EURGBP放空期权,德国今晨持续买入GBPUSD
今日分析
¨ 55小时均线为1.2901
¨ 伦敦盘高位1.2905
¨ 1.2793为亚洲盘低位
¨ 1.2935为昨日高点
关注焦点
我们预期EURUSD看涨的关键价位为1.2935-50,看跌价位为1.2785-50,两边都可能有止损的巨幅波动。在交易策略方面,短期想法可于1.2845-50放空,止损于1.2900,目标1.2760。 |
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发表于 6-2-2009 09:34 PM
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发表于 6-2-2009 02:31 PM
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发表于 6-2-2009 03:47 PM
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So Today London Opening.... any suggestion??? |
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楼主 |
发表于 6-2-2009 09:18 PM
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________________________________
From: Dave Leaver
Sent: Fri 2/6/2009 8:14 AM
Subject: WHAT WINTER OF DISCONTENT?
WHAT WINTER OF DISCONTENT?
Back in 1978-79 during one of the worst recessions in Great Britain's history, pundits made use of the famous opening line of William Shakespeare's "Richard III" by referring to the period as the "winter of our discontent"....Well, leapfrog 30 years forward and you would think it's the same economic misery all over again perhaps even worse considering the collapse of many major UK banks and housing market...The truth of the matter is things are horrendous in England and the British pound has paid the price in brutal fashion (2.10 to 1.35)...But not in the past 48 hours...Post the 50 basis point cut by the MPC , GBP/USD has risen from 1.4365 to 1.4748 while EUR/GBP has swooned from .8925 to .8665 ....Meanwhile, EUR/USD has waddled between 1.2740 and 1.2900 mostly a victim of the EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY cross currents....Keep in mind, the Ecb decide to stand pat on its borrowing costs yesterday in spite of the desolate economic outlook for ALL the world...Is the market making a macroeconomic play by selling EUR/GBP and ignoring the interest rate differential? It certainly looks like it....The key question now is when will the proverbial "shoe drop" in EUR/USD?? We have the all important Us Non Farm payrolls report due out at 8.30 am combined with key technical supports at 1.2705 and 1.2625 to contend with...It remains to be seen however if the Europeans will share some of that discontent
FLOWS
· Talk of option players bidding ahead of 1.2700 and 1.2600 in EUR/USD with short technical stops taken out at 1.2750 break...
· Supposed real money buyers around 1.2425-10 in USD/CAD
· Allegedly system and leverage names sold EUR/GBP through .8825
· Japanese accounts said to be bidding at 90.70-50 with fresh offers at 92.00 and 92.50
FLAVOR OF THE DAY
· 55 hour moving average at 1.2841
· London high was 1.2837
· 1.2746 was the London low
· 1.2705 was last week's low
THE ONE TO WATCH
We will keep watching the EUR/USD and try to be prepared for any and all scenarios..We think buying around 1.2620 with a 1.2590 stop and 1.2675 is reasonable and we think selling at 1.2975 with a 1.3020 stop and 1.2670 limit is a prudent use of risk/reward
Dave Leaver |
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发表于 6-2-2009 09:21 PM
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新的一年新的开始。。。

请大家多多教导小弟 |
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发表于 6-2-2009 09:33 PM
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現在EU好恐怖哦,一直上下feng |
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发表于 6-2-2009 10:59 PM
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