【HLBANK 5819 交流专区】丰隆银行

ss24

布林频带仍在收缩，成交量达14VMA，MACD震荡指标持续转坏，出现死亡交叉，MFI、RSI没大变化，STOCHASTIC K线回弹离开弱势区。

全日的下影线很长，惟股价成功在买气撑托下以微跌收市。MACD死亡交叉了，接下来要看布林频带会不会打开才能确定会不会出现跌势。

支持在5.60,5.50，阻力在5.65,5.70，5.75，5.80

ss24

布林频带开始打开，成交量涨高于14VMA，MACD震荡指标持续走坏，MFI、STOCHASTIC K线均进入弱势区，RSI达30％超卖水平。

全日只有上影线而没有下影线显示卖压胜利，布林频带打开股价挫跌，10MA和20MA有形成死亡交叉之势，加上其他指标均弱势，短期内看跌。

支持在5.50，阻力在5.60, 5.65, 5.70，

傻人最有傻福

全球市場潛力大
回銀紮穩根基往外衝
馬來西亞是發展回教金融業的全球先鋒之一，除了政府積極開放市場讓更多外資參與，本地銀行在國內紮穩根基后，已開始往外衝，把國內成功經營模式外銷！豐隆銀行（HLBANK，5819，主板金融）早前獲國家銀行和香港金融管理局批准，于本月18日在香港設立回銀服務專屬櫃台，是第一家成功開拓海外回銀服務的本地銀行。
香港致力開發回教金融市場，積極招攬海外投資者參與，惟艾芬證券研究分析員回應《中國報》詢問時說，新業者難打開香港金融市場之門，早在中國和香港站有一席之位的業者，則比較輕易踏足香港回金市場。
“這包括豐隆銀行、大眾銀行（PBBANK，1295，主板金融）和馬銀行（MAYBANK，1155，主板金融），可透過當地分行設立回銀服務專屬櫃檯，測試市場反應。”
另一名分析員告訴《中國報》，雖然香港起步慢，但基于金融中心的優勢地位明顯，將迅速晉身為國際回金市場的一分子。
他指出，香港未來將是各國銀行集團，不可忽視的重要回金市場之一，皆因背后的投資焦點將是中國13億人口的龐大市場。
他再說，業者應抓緊機會，搶先其他同業涉足香港回銀市場，並非等待市場飽和才做打算，這只會加大投資風險，必須要第一時間把握投資機會。
中國市場跳板
豐隆近期將在香港推出首項符合回教教義的存款產品（Commodity Murabahah Deposit），初步預期可吸引約1億美元（約3億3355萬令吉）存款。
惟分析員認為，香港投資成本偏高，收購對象較少，難成為本土銀行的目標市場。
分析員說，香港缺乏小型銀行，大多由家族成員掌控，不願易手，即使脫售也將抬高價格，使意欲進軍當地金融市場的業者，付出高昂收購代價。
他坦言，國內主導銀行至今未大肆進軍香港回金市場，是因為香港市場尚未成熟，投資門檻較高。
根據國際信貸評級機構穆迪（Moody）統計，全球回教債市規模超過830億美元（約2763億9000萬令吉），其中逾60%源自我國。

ss24

布林频带打开幅度减少，成交量剧减，MACD震荡指标持续走坏，MFI、RSI、STOCHASTIC K线稍微回弹，RSI脱离超卖和STOCHASTIC脱离弱势。

股价稍微回弹，成交量稀疏，投资者纷纷退场观望。

支持在5.50，阻力在5.60, 5.65, 5.70

ss24

布林频带收缩，成交量仍低迷，MACD震荡指标转好，MFI、RSI、STOCHASTIC纷纷回弹至中等水平。

股价开始出现技术反弹调整，惟成交量不够，反弹后劲稍嫌不足。反弹目标阻力在中频带5.70。

支持在5.60, 5.50，阻力在5.65, 5.70

ss24

Financial Results

Reference No HB-080825-42343

Company Name	:	HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
Stock Name	:	HLBANK
Date Announced	:	25/08/2008

Financial Year End	:	30/06/2008
Quarter	:	4
Quarterly report for the financial period ended	:	30/06/2008
The figures	:	have been audited

Converted attachment :

Please attach the full Quarterly Report here:

HLB-Financial Statement (30.06.08).pdf
HLB Press Release (30.06.08).pdf

Remark:

This announcement is dated 25 August 2008.

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30/06/2008

		INDIVIDUAL PERIOD		CUMULATIVE PERIOD
		CURRENT YEAR QUARTER	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER	CURRENT YEAR TO DATE	PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD
		30/06/2008	30/06/2007	30/06/2008	30/06/2007
		RM'000	RM'000	RM'000	RM'000
1	Revenue	486,375	459,742	2,018,340	1,768,190
2	Profit/(loss) before tax	184,312	241,704	1,010,042	856,598
3	Profit/(loss) for the period	134,065	171,947	741,861	619,449
4	Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent	133,987	172,407	741,818	620,794
5	Basic earnings/(loss) per share (sen)	9.24	11.83	51.19	42.40
6	Proposed/Declared dividend per share (sen)	15.00	15.00	24.00	24.00
		AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER		AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7	Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent (RM)	3.5100		3.1800

ss24

布林频带没大变化，成交量仍低迷，MACD震荡指标持续走好，MFI进入超卖区，RSI回落，STOCHASTIC回弹至中等水平。

MACD有望出现黄金交叉，如果成交量能够增强，有望股价能突破中频带阻力。

支持在5.60, 5.50，阻力在5.65, 5.70，5.80

ss24

布林频带没变化，成交量仍低迷，MACD震荡指标持续走好，MFI仍在超卖区，RSI、STOCHASTIC稍微回落。

MACD signal和MACD线交缠在一起，股价在中频带遇到阻力而回落。

支持在5.65, 5.60, 5.50，阻力在5.70，5.80

ss24

布林频带稍微收缩，成交量涨高于14天平均交易量，MACD震荡指标持续走好出现了黄金交叉，MFI脱离超卖区，RSI在中等水平，STOCHASTIC上升。

GMMA显示股价开始到达中期平均线形成的阻力区底部。MACD的黄金交叉出现了，加上成交量涨高配合，由于现在股价在中频带以上，如果接下来频带打开，就是看股价再次挑战阻力区的戏的时候了。

支持在5.65, 5.60, 5.50，阻力在5.70，5.75，5.80

ss24

布林频带没变化，成交量涨高于14天平均交易量，MACD震荡指标持续走好，MFI没变化仍在超卖区，RSI在中等水平，STOCHASTIC回软跌破强势区。

股价在GMMA阻力区遇到阻力回落，不过仍获得支持线扶持，现在需要的是布林频带的打开和MFI的好转。

支持在5.70，5.65, 5.60, 阻力在5.75，5.80

ss24

Friday,  29 Aug 2008
5:10PM	Guoco Assets Sdn Bhd (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:10PM	Guoco Group Limited (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:10PM	GuoLine Overseas Limited (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:10PM	Hong Leong Financial Group Berhad (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:10PM	HL Holdings Sdn Bhd (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:09PM	GuoLine Capital Assets Limited (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:09PM	Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:09PM	Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (125,000 Shares Acquired)
5:09PM	Hong Leong Company (Malaysia) Berhad (125,000 Shares Acquired)
Thursday,  28 Aug 2008
6:59PM	Internal Reorganisation Exercise
Tuesday,  26 Aug 2008
6:37PM	Employee Provident Fund Board (190,000 Shares Acquired)
6:37PM	Employee Provident Fund Board (500,000 Shares Acquired)

ss24

布林频带开始打开，成交量达14天平均交易量，MACD震荡指标转坏，MFI没变化仍在超卖区，RSI下跌，STOCHASTIC K线下跌。

布林频带打开股价在中频带以下，后市看跌。股价跌破了GMMA短期平均的支持线，看来这次上冲阻力区又是无功而返了。在其他指标均下跌之际，MACD一旦出现死亡交叉，后市不乐观。

阴阳烛图：今天出现大阴烛，显示卖压大获全胜。看回之前28/8出现的Gravestone Doji，今天的大阴烛可以确定为反转信号，短期内后市极可能下跌。

支持在5.60，5.50, 阻力在5.65, 5.70，5.75

[ 本帖最后由 ss24 于 4-9-2008 07:39 PM 编辑 ]

ss24

布林频带再出现收缩，成交量略低于14天平均交易量，MACD震荡指标转好，MFI脱离超卖区，RSI、STOCHASTIC K线均回弹。

布林频带收缩股价巩固。股价重现生机重返GMMA支持水平以上，其它指标回弹，之前出现的颓势突现转机。


支持在5.65, 5.60，5.50, 阻力在5.70，5.75

弹煮

Hong Leong Bank Group Full Year Profits Cross RM 1 BillionRM 1 billion profits milestone
Hong Leong Bank Group ("Group) has achieved its first billion pre-tax profit at RM1.01 billion for its full financial year results ended 30 June 2008.
The full year pre-tax profit rose by RM153 million, up 18%, vs RM857 million for the same corresponding period last year.
Shareholder value creation strengthened in tandem, with returns on shareholder funds (ROSF) advancing 150 basis points to 15.3%, compared to 13.8% reported for the whole 12 months last fiscal year. Earnings per share (EPS) expanded by 21% to 51.2 sen compared to 42.4 sen last fiscal year. Similarly, net assets per share rose by 33 sen to RM3.51 compared to RM3.18 as of June 2007.
"In the last 4 years since we laid out our Business Transformation agenda, pre-tax profits has grown almost two-folds from RM529 million in FY04 to over a RM1 billion today. Returns on shareholder funds are up 610 basis points from 9.2% in FY04 to 15.3%. This financial result is evidence that the efforts to step up and scale up our organic franchise in liberalising banking sector are paying off.
Our Business Transformation agenda is flexible and adaptive, but the core themes of high performance and sustainable, profitable growth remain consistent. We are on track to achieve our twin goals of a strong domestic core francise and regional embedment," remarks Yvonne Chia, Group Managing Director / Chief Executive.

Highlights of the Group’s full year financial performance

• Pre-tax profit for FYE Jun 08 rose by 18% y-o-y to RM1,010 million.
• After-tax profit for FYE Jun 08 expanded by 20% y-o-y to RM742 million.
• Returns on average shareholder funds increased to 15.3% on an annualized basis, up by 1.5% from 13.8% in FYE Jun 07.
• Earnings per share grew to 51.2 sen from 42.4 sen as compared to last year.
• Return on assets improved by 6 basis points against the same period last year to 1.0%.
• Total net income crossed the RM2 billion mark, ending at RM2,018 million, up 14% y-o-y. This was driven by an 18% growth in net interest income, 11% growth in net income from Islamic banking and 5% growth in other operating income (non-interest income).
• Net interest income expansion was driven by a combination of loans growth and margin enhancement from a proactive management of portfolio asset yields and cost of funds. Net interest margin has improved by 25 basis points vs last year.
• Non-interest income also showed improvements at RM479 million or up 5% y-o-y, from improved earnings from core transactional sources, wealth management, trade finance, forex as well as advisory fees from the Singapore branch.
• Revenue growth was 2.4 times operating expense growth y-o-y, and cost-to-income ratio was flat at 42.1% vs 42.3% for FYE Jun 07.
• Total assets grew 9% y-o-y to RM77.5 billion.
• Gross loans grew 9% y-o-y.
• Customer deposits grew 10.3% y-o-y.
• Gross non-performing loan (NPL) ratio and net NPL ratio decreased to 2.4% and 1.4% in FYE Jun 08, from 3.2% and 1.9% in the last corresponding year.
• Loan loss coverage expanded to 103.8%, up from 86.6% last year.
• The Group’s capital position remained strong, with the risk-weighted capital ratio (RWCR) at 16.4%.
  

Underlying business growth
Loans growth was broad-based for the year, and the Group ranked among the top 3 for loans interest income growth over the recent 7 quarters.

The competitiveness of the Bank’s Personal Financial Services segment continued its pace with mortgage loans financing growing by 10%, credit card receivables by 16% and personal lending by 118% y-o-y. On a cumulative basis for 7 quarters to March 2008, the Personal Financial Services segment ranked as high as number two for share of incremental retail loans in the sector, among all local and foreign banks.
Loans to domestic business enterprises, including corporates and SMEs expanded by 12.4% y-o-y. Trade finance is progressing well, with a market share of 9%. Commercial FX volume expanded 1.7 times, and FX profits were up 1.9 times. Profits from HL Markets, the Group’s Treasury operations improved by 1.5 times.

The wealth management business, also driven via the boutique investment banking and private banking businesses out of the Singapore branch, as well as the Islamic wealth management are emerging growth areas for the Group. For FYE Jun 08, assets under management is at a size of over RM 13 billion. The Group is among the top 4 Institutional Unit Trust Agent (IUTA) in the country today. Investment sales were up 21% vs FY07, while structured investment sales expanded by 2x vs FY07.

The Group’s Islamic assets expanded by 31%, and gross Islamic financing advanced by 15.3%.

Deposits a core franchise strength
The Group’s embedment in the community continues to be a core strength for deposits growth, especially among individual depositors. Total deposits from customers are at RM62.5 billion versus RM56.7 billion as of June 07, or a growth of 10%. The Group is among the top 3 in size for individual deposits today.

Liquidity remains strong and healthy, and the loan to deposit ratio (including short-term corporate placements) stands at 56.7% or 71.8% (excluding short-term corporate placements).

Strong asset quality a continuing mantra in the Group
Asset quality remained strong, with the gross NPL ratio improving to 2.4%, down from 3.2% last June 2007. The net NPL ratio improved to 1.4% from 1.9% last June 2007. Total NPL also fell 19% to RM840 million, from RM1,033 million last June 2007.

The loan loss coverage was higher at 103.8%, versus 86.6% last June 2007.

Robust capitalisation
The Bank was able to maintain a strong capital adequacy ratio (RWCR) at 16.4%, and which is in compliance with the new Basel II capital adequacy framework.

Capital management via treasury shares buyback is ongoing, with 5.1% of total issued shares purchased.

Talent management
The Bank has significantly strengthened the bankwide talent pool over the last few years, with new skillsets and capabilities in consumer marketing, customer analytics, risk management and Basel II, wholesale banking and treasury, wealth management, credit, technology and e-banking, as well as Islamic banking and wealth management. The refreshing and upskilling of human resources at the Bank has enabled it to remain highly competitive and relevant to the changing market, and to expand the depth and breadth of the business model.

Strong credit ratings
The Bank had its RAM credit rating for its long and short term  financial  institution rating re-affirmed at AA2 and P1 while its subsidiary, Hong Leong Islamic Bank was newly rated, same as the mother bank at AA2 and P1.

The Bank is rated A2/P-1 and A3/P-1 by Moody’s for its long-term global local currency deposit ratings and foreign currency obligations (at sovereign rating level) respectively. Standard & Poor’s rates the Bank’s counterparty credit rating at BBB+/Stable/A-2. Fitch Ratings has the Bank’s Long-term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘BBB+’ with a stable outlook.

Updates on acquisition of 20% shareholding in Chengdu City Commercial Bank
The acquisition transaction has been completed, and the Bank has been registered as a 20% shareholder in Chengdu City Commercial Bank, Chengdu (“Chengdu Bank”), Sichuan Province, China. This officially marks the first strategic investment of any Malaysian bank into the Chinese banking sector.
Hong Leong Bank and Chengdu Bank have put in place a strategic alliance agreement on expert and technical assistance by HLB into Chengdu Bank, as well as training for Chengdu Bank’s personnel. Chengdu Bank’s growth over the long term is potentially the fastest growing franchise for Hong Leong Bank.

Dividends
A final dividend of 15.0 sen per share less income tax of 25% has been proposed for the current quarter, bringing the total dividend for the year to 24.0 sen.

Market outlook
"The Bank is cautiously optimistic on the market outlook. We will remain sensible on our business growth, and strengthen enterprise risk management," adds Yvonne Chia.

"The underlying business strength is robust and foundations stronger, and we will pursue a balanced growth agenda, with utmost priorities on sustainable, profitable growth through different economic cycles."

-END-


Press Release - 25/08/2008

ss24

布林频带微收缩，GMMA股价跌破支持线，成交量略高于14天平均交易量，MACD震荡指标转坏，MFI重返超卖区，RSI、STOCHASTIC K线没什么变化。

布林频带仍在收缩股价巩固。股价又破GMMA支持水平，其它指标重趋软，看来股价进入了横摆的箱子区域里。

支持在5.60，5.50, 阻力在5.65, 5.70，5.75

ss24

10日平均和20日平均线纠缠，和30日平均线距离也近，短期走势不明朗。30日平均仍在60日平均以下，中期走势下跌。120、200、250互相距离近，长期走势倾向横摆。

布林频带没有变化，频带走势朝下，短期内股价会依照频带走势向下走，直到出现收缩为止。

14日平均成交量暴涨，显示出现许多卖压。

GMMA股价跌破支持线后继续下跌，不乐观。

MACD震荡指标转负数，Signal下越MACD线形成死亡交叉，后市看跌。

MFI进入超卖区，弱势。

RSI没大变化，中等水平。平均RSI下滑。

随机指标K线进入弱势区，快、慢指标继续下滑，弱势

阴阳烛图表：今天出现大阴烛，只有上影线，显示卖压大获全胜。

支持在5.50, 阻力在5.60，5.65, 5.70，5.75

[ 本帖最后由 ss24 于 9-9-2008 08:34 PM 编辑 ]

ss24

Tuesday,  9 Sep 2008  
  
6:45PM  Davos Investment Holdings Private Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Kwek Leng Beng (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Kwek Leng Kee (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Hong Realty (Private) Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Kwek Holdings Pte Ltd (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Hong Leong Investment Holdings Pte. Ltd. (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Quek Leng Chye (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
  
Monday,  8 Sep 2008  
  
7:25PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  Hong Leong Financial Group Berhad (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  Guoco Assets Sdn Bhd (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  Guoco Group Limited (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  GuoLine Overseas Limited (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  Hong Leong Company (Malaysia) Berhad (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  GuoLine Capital Assets Limited (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:25PM  HL Holdings Sdn Bhd (350,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Davos Investment Holdings Private Limited (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Kwek Leng Beng (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Kwek Leng Kee (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Kwek Holdings Pte Ltd (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Hong Realty (Private) Limited (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Hong Leong Investment Holdings Pte. Ltd. (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:08PM  Quek Leng Chye (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
  
Thursday,  4 Sep 2008  
  
7:13PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:13PM  Hong Leong Financial Group Berhad (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:13PM  Guoco Assets Sdn Bhd (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  GuoLine Overseas Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  HL Holdings Sdn Bhd (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  Guoco Group Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  Hong Leong Company (Malaysia) Berhad (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  GuoLine Capital Assets Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
7:12PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:07PM  Kwek Leng Beng (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:07PM  Kwek Leng Kee (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:07PM  Kwek Holdings Pte Ltd (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:07PM  Hong Realty (Private) Limited (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:07PM  Quek Leng Chye (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:06PM  Davos Investment Holdings Private Limited (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
5:06PM  Hong Leong Investment Holdings Pte. Ltd. (125,000 Shares Acquired)  
  
Wednesday,  3 Sep 2008  
  
6:23PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:23PM  Guoco Assets Sdn Bhd (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:23PM  GuoLine Overseas Limited (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  Hong Leong Company (Malaysia) Berhad (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  HL Holdings Sdn Bhd (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  GuoLine Capital Assets Limited (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  Hong Leong Financial Group Berhad (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:22PM  Guoco Group Limited (180,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:01PM  Employee Provident Fund Board (300,000 Shares Transacted)  
6:01PM  Employee Provident Fund Board (60,000 Shares Acquired)

傻人最有傻福

原帖由 ss24 于 10-9-2008 01:18 PM 发表
Tuesday,  9 Sep 2008  
  
6:45PM  Davos Investment Holdings Private Limited (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Kwek Leng Beng (400,000 Shares Acquired)  
6:45PM  Kwek Leng Kee (400,000 Shares Acq ...

哇....杨家厉害咯....没人要....只好自己吃....

ss24

10日平均和20日平均线纠缠，和30日平均线距离也近，短期走势不明朗。30日平均仍在60日平均以下，中期走势下跌。120、200、250互相距离近，长期走势倾向横摆。

布林频带出现收缩，股价回弹至中频带。

14日平均成交量仍然高企，然而今天股价上升显示买气获胜。

GMMA股价回弹到短期平均形成的阻力。

MACD震荡指标稍微转好，Signal和MACD线纠缠，后市不明朗。

MFI回弹脱离超卖区，暂时脱离弱势。

RSI上升，好现象。平均RSI达中等水平。

随机指标K线回弹脱离弱势区碰到快指标，如果出现黄金交叉，短期可以摆脱弱势。

阴阳烛图表：今天出现大阳烛，显示买方大获全胜，收复昨天的失地。

支持在5.60，5.55, 5.50，阻力在5.65, 5.70，5.75

个人意见：后市仍不明朗，建议保持观望。

[ 本帖最后由 ss24 于 10-9-2008 08:36 PM 编辑 ]

ss24

10日平均和20日平均线仍纠缠，和30日平均线距离也近，短期走势不明朗。30日平均仍在60日平均以下，中期走势下跌。120、200、250互相距离近，长期走势倾向横摆。

布林频带收缩减少，股价在中频带以下，地点不利。

14日平均成交量暴涨，股价下跌显示卖压增强，不乐观。

GMMA股价在短期平均遇到阻力回跌，不好。

MACD震荡指标转坏，Signal和MACD线不能出现黄金交叉，下跌走势持续。

MFI回跌，仍没达弱势区。

RSI回跌至中等水平，平均RSI微迭，中立。

随机指标K线回跌再次进入弱势区，短期弱势保持。

阴阳烛图表：今天出现阴烛，虽然卖压获胜，但下影线显示买盘也不少。

支持在5.55, 5.50，阻力在5.60，5.65, 5.70

我的买卖思绪：成交量暴涨，我担心市场出现庞大卖压，不过几天来郭氏有扶盘，应该可以稳住股价，所以暂时还是保持观望，觉得不是入货时机。