美国投机情报区-Dubai神話破滅

葉芬

轉帖： 再來一個！


一位高手悟出的炒股铁律，照着做，富可敌国！
　　
1、只买上升轨道的股票，不买下降轨道的股票，如果股票一直在上升轨道，就永远持有，永远不要卖！

2、在上升轨的下沿买进股票，然后持有，到上升轨发生明显的变化，卖出。

3、局面复杂看不清的股票，千万不要进去，柿子捡软的捏，炒股也一样。

4、不要把所有的钱一次性买进同一只股票，即便你非常看好它，而且事后证明你是对的，也不要一次性买进。总有可能买得更低，或者有更好的机会买进。

5、如果误买了下降通道的股票，赶紧卖出，避免损失扩大。

6、如果没有损失，也赶紧退出观望。

7、不是上升通道的股票，根本不要看。管它将来怎么样，不要陪主力去建仓。没时间陪他们耗着。

8、赢钱时加仓，输钱时减码，如果你不想死的快而想赚得块，这是唯一的方法。

9、不要相信业绩，那只代表过去，不代表将来。

10、炒股是炒将来，不是过去。

11、不要幻想老是去做短线，每天进进出出。股票不是*，频繁进出，可能给你带来快感，但会让你损失很多的钱，唯一受益的是证券公司，而且你不会有那么高的水准，你也不是庄家。

不要买太多的股票，最好不要超过五只。你没有那么多精力看着她们。如果你想娶五个老婆，即便你身体够好，你也满足不了你的老婆们。韦小宝的故事只发生在小说里。

12、股票很便宜了，跌了很多了，不是你买入的理由，永远不是！！！他还可能更加便宜！！！！

13、股票很贵了，涨了很多了，也不是你拒绝买入或者卖出的理由。他还可能涨得更高！！！！！

最后一点，股票不是你生活的全部，你还有你的家庭，还有你的事业，还有你的爱情，他们比你的股票更加宝贵。多陪陪他们，少陪陪股票。钱是永远赚不完的，但很多东西一旦失去了，就永远不再回来！！！！

cct2050

IEA調高石油需求預期  2009-9-12

    （倫敦11日訊）國際能源機構(IEA)表示，全球石油消費量今年的收縮幅度不會像過去擔心的那麼大，且將在2010年實現強勁增長。這是一個最新跡象，表明經濟樂觀情緒正在顯著高漲。

      國際能源機構表示，該機構看到「越來越多的證據表明，全球經濟可能終於開始企穩了。」但它補充稱：「我們不能完全無視出現雙底和W形衰退的可能性。」  該機構表示，它目前預計，今年的石油日需求將減少190萬桶，低於上月給出的減少230萬桶的預期。

      自今年5月給出減少260萬桶的預期以來，這是該機構第三次調整預期。日需求預期在過去4個月調升了70萬桶，相當於卡塔爾的石油產量。

        國際能源機構預計，明年的全球石油日需求將增加130萬桶，以中國為代表的亞洲發展中國家和美國將成為拉動需求的主力。

股龙

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 11-9-2009 01:41 AM 发表
手上拿着的36500 MESA快可以出货了.....不过,感觉这里好像冷冷的..?人都去了那里?????

几天不在家，错过了出货的机会！

cct2050

原帖由 股龙 于 12-9-2009 07:07 PM 发表

几天不在家，错过了出货的机会！

Mesa 近期 0.26 - 0.28 没问题

tankangkai

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 12-9-2009 01:42 PM 发表

我也是拿它来填回CNB的亏损的..现在在想..到底要起到多少才卖呢??$15?$17?

15 - 17usd都可以出货，等它在下跌时再进货咯!

SUNNY仔

原帖由 cct2050 于 12-9-2009 07:56 PM 发表




Mesa 近期 0.26 - 0.28 没问题

之前0.275卖了后急着进场,高价0.255买下的36500也HOLD着整个多两个星期了..希望下星期有突破啦...

SUNNY仔

原帖由 tankangkai 于 12-9-2009 08:15 PM 发表

15 - 17usd都可以出货，等它在下跌时再进货咯!

计算后发觉如果上到$15刚好有10万马币的盈利..所以,希望下星期会突破$15!

终景

原帖由 napster 于 11-9-2009 11:16 PM 发表

看来以后最好不要再这里说医药股好了。gnbt 又来pump and dump
我的医药股交易证明了医药股是不可以碰的，除非0.1-0.5多余钱 买上来。
你们大家坦白说自己的医药股交易如何？
现在我是绝对痛恨医药股。把焦点放 ...

RPRX 和 XTNT令我輸了不少錢。。。

tankangkai

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 12-9-2009 11:56 PM 发表


计算后发觉如果上到$15刚好有10万马币的盈利..所以,希望下星期会突破$15!

100K?
哇，你在什么价位进了多少个股？米很多下哦！

SUNNY仔

原帖由 tankangkai 于 13-9-2009 08:57 AM 发表

100K?
哇，你在什么价位进了多少个股？米很多下哦！

$8.37 X 4450..这里相信有很多我酱的角色啦...只是可能静静罢了....

tankangkai

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 13-9-2009 09:16 AM 发表

$8.37 X 4450..这里相信有很多我酱的角色啦...只是可能静静罢了....

手上的HEB,INO,RPRX,OSCI,LJPC,都让我亏了不少！

白面包

大家都好像烧到手了
我也是输了我所有财产的10%

SUNNY仔

原帖由 tankangkai 于 13-9-2009 02:21 PM 发表


手上的HEB,INO,RPRX,OSCI,LJPC,都让我亏了不少！

基本上我的CTIC和CNB都在亏损着...(CTIC= $1.8 X 5000; CNB= $0.57 X 20000).以拜五休市来算,帐面上这两只股已让我亏损了整四万多..还好MGM的上升抵消了我的帐面亏损...

tankangkai

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 13-9-2009 07:49 PM 发表

基本上我的CTIC和CNB都在亏损着...(CTIC= $1.8 X 5000; CNB= $0.57 X 20000).以拜五休市来算,帐面上这两只股已让我亏损了整四万多..还好MGM的上升抵消了我的帐面亏损...

我买股只是1000股而已，没那么多子弹像你一个股进这样多货！
手上没有多余的子弹，现盘算着把手中的1000HEB&INO出掉，进ALD!

葉芬

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ti ... the-Making?tickers=^gspc,^dji,xlf

Ten Bubbles in the Making

The Business Insider, Sept. 14, 2009:

One year after America's brush with economic catastrophe, there's plenty of looking back at the bubbles that caused financial chaos.

But what's next?

There are surely dangerous economic bubbles forming as we speak. As Alan Greenspan warned this week, "They [financial crises] are all different, but they have one fundamental source," he said. "That is the unquenchable capability of human beings when confronted with long periods of prosperity to presume that it will continue."

The trick, of course, is spotting them. By definition, most people don't spot a bubble before they form and burst.

Here's 10 for which you should be on alert:

1. China bubble: Despite the weak global economy, the Chinese stock market has soared like crazy this year. But many believe the rally has been driven purely by government-supplied liquidity, rather than fundamentals. The fear is that companies are flush with cash, but have little "real" to do with the cash, so they're parking it in the stock market casino. The Chinese real estate market appears to be on a similar trajectory.

2. Green bubble: Green has been everywhere. With observers saying the "Age of Cleantech and Biotech" will be the next major economic revolution, and Washington pouring billions of dollars into alternative energy projects, you'd think a bubble would have already formed. But, as we noted this spring, it did not, at least from an investment perspective.

Still, as the economic recovery takes shape, alternative energy could see excess investment on hopes of big future returns. There's plenty of hype left, and if investors regain the cash to get in the game, could green become the next internet or housing bubble?

3. Gold bubble: Gold prices just keep going up. They've risen for seven straight years, recently breaking $1,000 per ounce.

Is it a bubble? Right now, it doesn't look too bad. Gold is good in both inflationary and deflationary periods, as it holds wealth tangibly. And, as the Telegraph notes, there's real demand, especially from China.

But with some predicting a doubling of prices to $2,000 an ounce, too many people could jump in and spike the real value of the precious metal. The "rise forever" mentality usually means trouble.

4. Federal Reserve bubble: Is the Fed saving the financial system or creating another dangerous credit bubble by snapping up mortgage-backed securities?

At first glance, the Fed's effort to clean up mortgage-backed securities is a winner. But, as Heidi Moore wrote for Slate's The Big Money, the Fed is actually creating a bubble similar to the one it's trying to do damage control on. By eagerly trying to save banks and stabilize the housing market, Washington is taking on too much: $1.25 trillion of mortgaged-backed securities, including both the original toxic assets and products of foreclosures to come. So who would bail the Fed out? You.

5. Trash stock bubble: There's a rush to trash going on. Stocks like Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE), AIG (AIG) and even GM made big runs in August -- trading in trash financials made up nearly one-third of NYSE's August volume.

So why are people buying junk? Charlie Gasparino says shares of junk financials -- companies like Fannie, Freddie, AIG, Citi and Bank of America -- are being pushed up by a short squeeze. The Wall Street Journal suspects its high frequency traders. And others say its retail speculation and day traders getting their way while Wall Street went on vacation.

6. Education bubble: More people are going back to college and taking on huge debt to do it, despite questions about what the degree is really worth.

Last year, the amount borrowed by students and received by schools grew some 25% over the previous year, to $75.1 billion. That's a huge amount, especially with weak, low-paying job prospects for graduates in this economy.

As we've noted, all this student loan debt is crazy. Despite the desire to see more subsidization of college, we suspect there will be a collapse in student loan debt availability and desire to take on new debt.

Short of telling kids not to go to college, something's going to give.

The pop may be starting already. As Bloomberg reports, as many as one-third of all private colleges surveyed said they expected enrollment to drop in the next academic year. And almost 40 percent of those colleges said some of their students dropped out due to personal economic reasons and a quarter said full-time attendees switched to part time. Half said families had to cut back their expected contributions as the value of college savings plans dropped 21 percent last year.

7. Subprime bubble, 2.0: What are banks doing with all those subprime mortgages? They're repackaging with a higher rating -- "re-securitization of real estate mortgage investment conduits" -- and selling them.

As we've noted, it's a plan nearly identical to the complicated investment packages of the financial crisis a year ago. That being said, the problem was not strictly securitization, but the underlying housing bubble. So the return of complicated products isn't necessarily the end of the world.

8. Life insurance securitization bubble: In its search for new profits, Wall Street is planning on securitizing “life settlements" -- policies that the sick and elderly can sell for cash while they're alive -- much like it did subprime mortgages. The New York Times warns that we could be looking at subprime all over again.

Maybe. As we've noted, it wasn't securitization that caused the financial meltdown. It was the bursting of the housing bubble. Yes, there was a feedback loop, whereby securitization allowed more money to flow towards housing, but it seems unlikely that "life settlements" would get big enough to infect all portions of the financial world.

9. Commercial real estate bubble: This bubble is already hissing, if not popping outright.

While the economy is improving and some home sales are slowly coming back, the commercial real estate market could get far worse.

As The New York Times reports, "Even though industry lobbyists were able to persuade Congress to extend a loan program aimed at prodding the stalled securitization market back to life, several analysts said it was unlikely to head off a spate of defaults, foreclosures and bankruptcies that could surpass the devastating real estate crash of the early 1990s."

As UPI notes, commercial mortgage defaults could reach 4.1 percent by the end of the year, up from 2.25 percent in the first quarter, and Real Capital Analytics estimates commercial property loans worth $83 billion have been involved in default, foreclosure or bankruptcy in 2009.

Badly hit will likely be malls. "The next financial tsunami to hit will be the widespread failure of shopping center mortgages," says Peter Monroe, co-chair of REOMAC, a not for profit trade association to CNBC. "Half a trillion dollars of commercial loans financed on historically low rates, are due for refinancing in the next three years," says Monroe. "The negative impact of these shopping center mortgages is enormous."

10. Emerging market bubble: It's not just China. Risk-tolerant investors are bidding up emerging market shares to valuations not seen in 9 years. With an average PE of 20x, they're not in bubble territory just yet, but watch for things to get out of hand.

tankangkai

这个报告让人感到担忧哦！

kelvinkai

Heb 不是十月就有消息吗？。。你是什么价位卖的？。。  大家都放了HEB吗？

tankangkai

原帖由 kelvinkai 于 14-9-2009 08:56 AM 发表
Heb 不是十月就有消息吗？。。你是什么价位卖的？。。  大家都放了HEB吗？

进了1000@2.14!
十月有什么消息呢？

kelvinkai

http://cforum6.cari.com.my/viewt ... page%3D1&page=8    (这支股跟CTIC一样是在等FDA approval. 若有兴趣可一google一下Ampligen这个新药。
按照原来的schedule，approval的消息应该早在5月多时就要出炉了，但那时宣布需要多两个星期的时间来review，结果一等就是3个多月，到现在还没有消息。那根据CEO在上一次conference说，起码要等到11月尾才会有消息。。。
这支股在5，6月时是蛮hot一下，一度攀升到4块多的水平，但无奈消息迟迟不出，就一路跌到现在这个价钱，不上不下。。)..   大家都放了吗？  为什么？。。 给点情报叻。。因为我还没放

雨后的秋林

原帖由 kelvinkai 于 14-9-2009 11:08 AM 发表
http://cforum6.cari.com.my/viewt ... page%3D1&page=8    (这支股跟CTIC一样是在等FDA approval. 若有兴趣可一google一下Ampligen这个新药。
按照原来的schedule，approval的消息应该早在5月多时就要出炉了，但那时宣布需要多两个星期的时间来review，结果一等就是3个多月，到现在还没有消息。那根据CEO在上一次conference说，起码要等到11月尾才会有消息。。。
这支股在5，6月时是蛮hot一下，一度攀升到4块多的水平，但无奈消息迟迟不出，就一路跌到现在这个价钱，不上不下。。)..   大家都放了吗？  为什么？。。 给点情报叻。。因为我还没放

In June 2009, The Streetalleged Hemispherx was "seeking to divert investors' attention awayfrom the delayed approval of Ampligen as a treatment for chronicfatigue syndrome" by issuing three press releases in seven days aboutresearch from 2007 into possible applications for Ampligen as a fluvaccine booster. Hemispherx stated that Ampligen could be used againstthe H1N1 swine flu. The Street also alleged the Hemispherx pressreleases were misleading because they imply the research had been donein 2009.[3]Hemispherx's attempts to put Ampligen in the H1N1 market wereunsuccessful. The company was "shut out of the U.S. government'sefforts to stockpile vaccine against the H1N1 flu."[33]