Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (MPEL)

葉芬

轉帖：






Not the prettiest of charts at all. 20MA crossed the 200MA this week, ADX showing stupidly strong bearish trend, and that bottom line getting hugged like crazy. 20MA is roughly same as the 50MA on the weekly now. So that should act as some resistance on upward movement. That descending support line should meet up with the low $4 support this week, if we break that we're seeing $3s. Sell volume is still larger then buy volume. However, for bullish signals possible reversal candle Thursday was confirmed Friday, albeit barely. We need stochastics to quickly turn up and that would create some positive divergence giving it the 2nd higher low. MACD histo is just itching to go positive and the MACD lines (not shown) all all flatten out now and no longer ugly. DI lines hinting at possibly weakening negative trend, but need that ugly ADX line to curl down to weaken the current trend.

葉芬

有2Charts給大家選。。看你自己要選那一個。。。

我會拿中間的價錢。。 3.90 - 4.10 之間的價錢買進。
（跌破4元的話，下個Support會是在3.00，不過我不知這是不是低點，所以會選擇 3.90 - 4.10 買進1次，然后有跌再買進多1次。）


P/s: 還是賣的多過買進。

葉芬

轉帖：

http://www.fool.com/investing/sm ... ar-penny-stock.aspx


The Next Million-Dollar Penny Stock

By Tim Beyers
November 23, 2009

Penny stocks can make you rich. Need proof? Every one of these multibaggers was once a penny stock:

http://www.motleyfool.idmanageds ... 320&ID_BENCH4_DATE=

The promise of outrageous returns has periodically made even the world's best stock pickers penny stock investors. Peter Lynch has enjoyed the stock market's super-cheap seats in the past, and still does on occasion. The Royce Low-Priced Stock fund has beaten the market for a decade by betting on stocks trading near or below $10 a share, including Silver Standard Resources (Nasdaq: SSRI).

Even the All-Stars in our 145,000-plus Motley Fool CAPS community take to penny stocks. More than a few have been richly rewarded.

Pennies from heaven
So why not invest in penny stocks? Well, the warning the SEC issued about them provides one excellent reason to steer clear. But what if we take the agency's definition literally, and limit our choices to stocks trading between $1.50 and $5 a share? And what if we further seek only four- and five-star stocks with a market cap between $250 million and $2 billion? Surely our CAPS screener would return some winners, right?

This week when I ran that screen, 56 stocks made the cut -- including our last topper, USEC.

My favorite penny stock this week is Melco Crown Entertainment (Nasdaq: MPEL), a gaming company whose operations are concentrated in Macau, and which first made an appearance in this column last September. Today's details:

Metric
        

Melco Crown Entertainment

CAPS stars (out of 5)
****

Total ratings
1,170

Percent bulls
95.8%

Percent bears
4.2%

Bullish pitches
187 out of 196

By the numbers, there isn't much to like about Melco Crown. Revenue, though up 69% in the third quarter, failed to meet analyst estimates. The company also remains unprofitable: Melco lost $0.05 per American Depository Share (ADS) in Q3, and that was after positively adjusting for the effects of one-time items.

But not all Melco's numbers are bad. Debt is just 41% of total capital, well below the burdens carried by American peers Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS), MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM), and Wynn Resorts (Nasdaq: WYNN), all of which also compete in the Macau market.

Really, the bear thesis for Melco makes sense only if you believe there's a finite -- and well-defined -- market for gambling in Macau. I have a hard time believing that, and I'm not alone. The Motley Fool Global Gains team recommends shares of Melco precisely because Macau offers so much room for growth.

"If the economy is truly on the way back (I believe so) the influx of visitors will increase along with it," wrote CAPS investor mountain81 in June. "Macau has easy access to 1/3 of the world's population and a big chunk of them are heading to Macau instead of stagnant Las Vegas."

Do you agree? Would you buy Melco Crown at today's prices?

Each month, our Motley Fool Hidden Gems service spotlights promising micro-cap opportunities in a segment called Tiny Gems. Try this market-beating service risk-free for 30 days to find out what our penny-stock sleuths are following now. Melco Crown Entertainment is a Global Gains selection. Hansen Natural is a Rule Breakers recommendation.

Fool contributor Tim Beyers didn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article at the time of publication. Check out Tim's portfolio holdings and Foolish writings, or connect with him on Twitter as @milehighfool. The Motley Fool is also on Twitter as @TheMotleyFool. Its disclosure policy was small and cuddly. Once.

[ 本帖最后由 葉芬 于 24-11-2009 01:45 PM 编辑 ]

葉芬

昨晚買了 4.18  第一次。
會分3次買進，這樣比較保險。

tankangkai

原帖由 葉芬 于 25-11-2009 02:38 PM 发表
昨晚買了 4.18  第一次。
會分3次買進，這樣比較保險。

你打算投资多少资金呢？

葉芬

原帖由 tankangkai 于 25-11-2009 06:57 PM 发表


你打算投资多少资金呢？

3萬馬幣。

m.i.k.e

原帖由 葉芬 于 25-11-2009 08:07 PM 发表


3萬馬幣。

你有没有听过"助人为快乐之本"这匕个字?

葉芬

原帖由 m.i.k.e 于 25-11-2009 08:40 PM 发表
你有没有听过"助人为快乐之本"这匕个字?

你別糗我啦。。。


你來古晉，快來。。 我等你來。。

tankangkai

原帖由 葉芬 于 25-11-2009 08:07 PM 发表


3萬馬幣。

哇，好有米哦，

葉芬

原帖由 tankangkai 于 25-11-2009 09:23 PM 发表


哇，好有米哦，

貸款買股票。


3萬馬幣只能買到2粒的MPEL吧了。

[ 本帖最后由 葉芬 于 25-11-2009 09:47 PM 编辑 ]

MonteCarlo88

这支股是Stanley Ho 的儿子的啊？

葉芬

原帖由 MonteCarlo88 于 25-11-2009 11:09 PM 发表
这支股是Stanley Ho 的儿子的啊？

對。

miku

有老何在，不会倒。。买吧

MonteCarlo88

原帖由 miku 于 25-11-2009 11:41 PM 发表
有老何在，不会倒。。买吧

可是老何都很老了也。。。他的孩子叫什么名啊？还有什么公司？跟林国泰比，谁比较好了？

葉芬

原帖由 MonteCarlo88 于 25-11-2009 11:48 PM 发表


可是老何都很老了也。。。他的孩子叫什么名啊？还有什么公司？跟林国泰比，谁比较好了？

去Google Finance 打進 MPEL。。。 那里什么資料都有了。。

目前我只對MPEL有興趣。
GI 我不熟悉，Sorry 了。。

MonteCarlo88

原帖由 葉芬 于 26-11-2009 09:22 AM 发表



去Google Finance 打進 MPEL。。。 那里什么資料都有了。。

目前我只對MPEL有興趣。
GI 我不熟悉，Sorry 了。。

谢谢。。。。
Yau Lung Ho ...32 age only?
so young.....

葉芬

原帖由 MonteCarlo88 于 26-11-2009 10:24 AM 发表


谢谢。。。。
Yau Lung Ho ...32 age only?
so young.....

子憑父貴 ！

tradelearner

昨晚4.02最低。。
4.10进了一点。。。

葉芬

Date        Open        High        Low        Last        Change        Volume        % Change
11/27/09        4.10        4.18        4.02        4.12        -0.16        3133242        -3.74%

Composite Indicator       
   Trend Spotter TM                Sell

Short Term Indicators       
   7 Day Average Directional Indicator                Sell
   10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel                Sell
   20 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator                Sell
   20 Day Bollinger Bands                Hold       

Short Term Indicators Average:          80% - Sell
20-Day Average Volume - 9475792

Medium Term Indicators       
   40 Day Commodity Channel Index                Sell
   50 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator                Sell
   50 Day Parabolic Time/Price                Sell

Medium Term Indicators Average:          100% - Sell
50-Day Average Volume - 9275905

Long Term Indicators       
   60 Day Commodity Channel Index                Sell
   100 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator        Buy       

Long Term Indicators Average:          33% - Sell
100-Day Average Volume - 7543109

Overall Average:          80% - Sell

Price         Support         Pivot Point         Resistance
4.12         3.95         4.11         4.27

葉芬

我覺得還會跌，
我再等等看。