Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (MPEL)

葉芬

MPEL  Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd

Melco Crown Entertainment Limited (MPEL), formerly Melco PBLEntertainment (Macau) Limited, is a developer, owner and, through itssubsidiary Melco Crown Gaming, operator of casino gaming andentertainment resort facilities focused on the Macau market. MelcoCrown Gaming is one of the six companies licensed, through concessionsor sub-concessions, to operate casinos in Macau. The Company owns andoperates Crown Macau and Mocha Clubs, a non-casino based operation ofelectronic gaming machines. Its other operations include Taipa SquareCasino, City of Dreams, The Macau Peninsula Site and The Macau StudioCity Project.

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看看以下的Chart，和幾星期前的LVS一樣。

轉帖：






Anyone remember LVS going from just under $12 tolow $6? No one remembers that anymore I bet. I've mentioned it beforein this thread, this chart/stock reminds me a lot of LVS. LVS had abouta 50% retracement in a little over 2 months before that blast off. MPELjust had a 50% retracement in just under 2 months. Will it blastofflike LVS? It could. Not gonna lie, the chart looks hideous right nowfrom a technical standpoint. But so did LVS during those grim days. Ifyou're confident in the stock then just ride out the pains, if notconsider setting your stops and chalk it up as a bad play and move on.

[ 本帖最后由 葉芬 于 14-11-2009 10:57 AM 编辑 ]

葉芬

業績報告 17/11/09 （下星期二）

Nov 17, 2009
Q3 2009 Earnings Conference Call - 8:30AM EST

葉芬

轉帖：

I remember those days well as I have been in LVS since March. Yes many thought that LVS was down for the count. Comparing the two, MPEL is in much better shape than LVS was then and regarding the balance sheet it is not only better than LVS but considered one of the best in the gaming sector. Why has the price melted down? My thoughts go back to the re-tightening of travel restrictions even though it is better than it was before the relaxation. There was talk of clamping down on expansion yet LVS, WYNN and Galaxy are making those plans though secured financing. Then there was a downgrade and of course and the shorts have done their job well as there has not been enough buying to combat them. From WYNN's Q3, Macau was the bright spot of their report. We are quite sure that MPEL has a bigger market share than WYNN and they are not supporting US properties. There is no doubt my numbers on the gross revenue estimate are not going to right be on the money but I think there is a fare chance they will beat year on year. Net revenue? That is where the uncertainty lies. One bright spot for some us was that the meltdown from two days ago caused us to get stopped out only to pick up a lower price. Getting back to then and now, I have been in this position more times than I can remember and I do what I always do. I will be there with real time news when the Q3 comes out and pull the trigger for a sell or I might buy more depending on the outcome. Just one word of advise for the less experienced traders, when the Q3 comes out in pre market the price does not always move in the right direction right away until the market makes a firm call and course the market makers sometimes send out a head fake.

葉芬

轉帖：

MPEL

Interesting observationn:  MPEL did the exact same thing between April
and the beginning of July - popped to over $6 and then tanked to
$4.19, after which point rallied to $8.  It won't shock me to see MPEL
revisit the $4.15 range again for no good reason except for unfounded
panic.  All this said, a strong Q3 wll probably send this back to the
$5's, and coupling this with a promising earnings call could make it
climb to $6 again.

葉芬

Ranking of U.S.-listed Mid-Cap stocks (market cap between
$2 billion and $10 billion), based on average long-term (next 3-5
years) EPS growth rate estimated by Wall Street analysts:

Ranking  |  Company (Ticker)  |  Long-Term Growth
1 Cosan Limited (NYSEZZ) 79.2%
2 Votorantim Celulose e Papel SA (ADR) (NYSE:VCP) 72.1%
3 Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd (NASDAQ:MPEL) 66.1%

http://www.nasd100.com/2009/11/r ... owth-potential.html

葉芬

Date        Open        High        Low        Last        Change        Volume        % Change
11/13/09        4.57        4.61        4.35        4.39        -0.07        8291129        -1.57%

Composite Indicator       
   Trend Spotter TM                Sell

Short Term Indicators       
   7 Day Average Directional Indicator                Sell
   10 - 8 Day Moving Average Hilo Channel                Sell
   20 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   20 - 50 Day MACD Oscillator                Sell
   20 Day Bollinger Bands                Hold       

Short Term Indicators Average:          80% - Sell
20-Day Average Volume - 9384962

Medium Term Indicators       
   40 Day Commodity Channel Index                Sell
   50 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   20 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator                Sell
   50 Day Parabolic Time/Price                Sell

Medium Term Indicators Average:          100% - Sell
50-Day Average Volume - 9383654

Long Term Indicators       
   60 Day Commodity Channel Index                Sell
   100 Day Moving Average vs Price                Sell
   50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator        Buy       

Long Term Indicators Average:          33% - Sell
100-Day Average Volume - 7219719

Overall Average:          80% - Sell

Price         Support         Pivot Point         Resistance
4.39         4.19         4.45         4.71

葉芬

我在等她跌至 4元 - 4.1多 就買進。

放她3個月至明年農歷新年，看有機會變8元嗎。。















P/s: 可憐，星期6早上只得我一人在自言自語！

麥麥 論壇很靜吔 快來呀 湊湊熱鬧。

[ 本帖最后由 葉芬 于 14-11-2009 11:04 AM 编辑 ]

christophere_85

跌了通知我，我也进，
哪里可以看年报，trend indicator 的网站，叶芬姐

葉芬

原帖由 christophere_85 于 14-11-2009 12:42 PM 发表
跌了通知我，我也进，
哪里可以看年报，trend indicator 的网站，叶芬姐

Yahoo Finance / Google Finance 裏打進 MPEL 你就看到了。。

詳細的年報在MPEL網站那裏應該是有的。至于 Trend Indicator, 你可以參考以下的網站。。
這網站 DetailedQuotes，Technical Charts, Technical Sell/Buy Signals 什么都有。。得空時可參考下。


http://www.tradingday.com/tbs.html?http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=MPEL&code=BTDY

christophere_85

THANKS..........

m.i.k.e

原帖由 葉芬 于 14-11-2009 11:00 AM 发表
我在等她跌至 4元 - 4.1多 就買進。

放她3個月至明年農歷新年，看有機會變8元嗎。。



P/s: 可憐，星期6早上只得我一人在自言自語！

麥麥 論壇很靜吔 快來呀 湊湊熱鬧。

你不是讲我爱捣蛋, 还叫我来凑什么热闹........

tradelearner

从雅虎看。。香港公司。。ceo 才32岁。。

tradelearner

看周线图。。



今年6，7月时最低是4.0x

葉芬

原帖由 m.i.k.e 于 15-11-2009 12:57 PM 发表


你不是讲我爱捣蛋, 还叫我来凑什么热闹........

哎呀，別這樣啦。。。你知道我是講笑的嘛  

葉芬

原帖由 tradelearner 于 15-11-2009 02:25 PM 发表
从雅虎看。。香港公司。。ceo 才32岁。。

他的父親是Stanley Ho 。。。

http://t2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:QPzyChcY2A984M:

原帖由 tradelearner 于 15-11-2009 02:33 PM 发表
看周线图。。

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=MPEL&p=W&b=5&g=0&i=t10188378064&r=4121

今年6，7月时最低是4.0x

三月份最低點。。 過後就是七 月第一星期第二次低點。
我希望下星期會下到我的目標價後股價就 往上跑啦 。。

tradelearner

原帖由 葉芬 于 15-11-2009 09:46 PM 发表


他的父親是Stanley Ho 。。。

三月份最低點。。 過後就 ...

难怪咯。。。

这个星期的成交量超高。。有没有机会下到3月的2.3x的低点呢？
股价从8.4哪里，7个星期里跌了5个星期。。会不会还有机会再往下探呢？

葉芬

原帖由 tradelearner 于 15-11-2009 10:09 PM 发表


难怪咯。。。

这个星期的成交量超高。。有没有机会下到3月的2.3x的低点呢？
股价从8.4哪里，7个星期里跌了5个星期。。会不会还有机会再往下探呢？

呵呵 2.3 就很難。。。

有3元的話。。。 可以借貸來買完她 ！

葉芬

轉帖： 可以買到$4 - 4.05 是最好。。。。。。。。

The chart for this one is screaming out for some positive movement. But as it stands it just looks like a sick stock in need of some medicine.

SUNNY仔

芬姐,你也有注意这只股啊....之前我有瞄过它,但觉得它的潜在力量不大,所以把它放一旁了..看了你的分析,觉得可以一博啦...现在经济一慢慢摆脱困境了..这类博采股可以投资的..我现在拿着MGM了..所以,应该不会买它辣..除非有额外的资金啦..

葉芬

原帖由 SUNNY仔 于 15-11-2009 11:46 PM 发表
芬姐,你也有注意这只股啊....之前我有瞄过它,但觉得它的潜在力量不大,所以把它放一旁了..看了你的分析,觉得可以一博啦...现在经济一慢慢摆脱困境了..这类博采股可以投资的..我现在拿着MGM了..所以,应该不会买它辣..除 ...

我覺得她還可以（可以說很不錯），特別是現在的切入點 （建議：分批買進）。
3個月後 MPEL 1番就好。8元！ ok 嗎？

反而是 MGM 3個月後 20元的目標價 就比較難做到。