FOREX - MP2009新的方式 - 鱼饵

mancai

indicator, EA, template該放哪裏？答案如下：


如何load/save template和如何加Indicator下：


如何驅動EA：


EA Steinitz HAS MTF full version V3.19 #816楼
值USD100的profx在#739樓
我mix的MF1加MF2在#284樓
MF2在#112樓
MF1在#260樓
MP2009#64頁 http://www.mediafire.com/?mmiinmgmnoa
Merdekarama EA 在 這裡 （感謝yast77兄）
Pipzu EA 在 這裡 ， 參考 這樓  （感謝Burton 兄）
超好用的Visual backtest tools！！ 在 這裡（感謝小龍）
Trendy System 在这里 （感谢SingHooi兄分享）

[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 9-5-2009 03:28 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

保留。。。。。。。。。。

[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 18-11-2008 06:45 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

分享一下最近看书学到的一些名句，也欢迎大家写在这里分享分享：

Larry Williams（williams indicator创始人）- 短线交易秘诀

- 公众们都认为投机是一种预知未来，未知晓那些无法知晓的游戏。他们都错了。
其实这是运用成功的投资策略抓住你身边的机会去实现它的一种游戏。

- “真正的秘诀”是，你交易的时段越短，赚的钱越少。
这让人失望，却是事实。回想一下你曾经与过的任何投资。
你曾经在一天内就大有收获吗？假如你有过那么好的运气，又能重复几次呢？
不会太多吧，因为获利的普遍规则和投机的普遍规则没有两样：
获利需要时间累计。

- 成功的交易员知道5分钟的变动要比1分钟大，60分钟又比5分钟更大，一天或一周的变动幅度则又更大。失败的交易员想要在很短的时段内完成买卖，自然使获利的潜力大受限制。


John Bolinger (Bolinger bands创始人）- Bolinger bands

-现在很多公司创立了各种交易分析系统，并介绍说他们的分析系统多么多么的有效，经过测试其收益能达到多么多么高。可是，许多投资人购买了这套分析系统，运用一段时间后，常常发现其实结果并不是想象的那么好，有时甚至很糟糕。为什么呢？因为有了好的投资系统，会不会用，还是于各人的功力深浅。这就是我们常常讲的一句古谚：师傅请进门，修行在各人。

-在技术分析领域，你应该独立走自己的路，不要走别人已走过的路，别人的成功不等于你的成功。你不能分享别人的心得，别人也不能分享你的。在投资领域，没有现成的大餐等着你，一切都得靠自己的努力。

type到很累 。。 to be continue 。。

PDF下载：

【技术分析精解】编著：[日]林康史
http://www.sendspace.com/file/gm55pz

【短线交易大师：工具和策略】 Oliver Velez & Greg Capra
http://www.sendspace.com/file/s5wdi6

慢慢陆续上载，但不知道sendspace能顶多久
不知道有没有人看。。没人看我就不上传了

[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 18-11-2008 06:45 PM 编辑 ]

三叉

谢谢mancai的分享！我也有玩外汇，也是在ibfx.请多多指教！

mancai

这是一个kuwait叫Imran的高手mix的一个indicator system
我用过，如他所说的90%以上winning rate，其他输得因素是news忽然出现
里面有pdf讲解，
1)imran_setup.tpl放在 C:\Program Files\Interbank FX Trader 4\templates
2)把其它的放在C:\Program Files\Interbank FX Trader 4\experts\indicators

下载：
http://www.sendspace.com/file/jzfot7

Hello Everyone

I am trading in GBP/JPY using this Simple method since for quitesometime now and its proven to be successful 90% of the times, the onlytimes it has failed is when a spike up or down during news time, so idiscourage anyone to stop using this 30 mins prior and after the newsto escape from the whipsaws.

This method should work good on all pairs, but due to the high votalityand movement, i love to work on this pair, gives very high Risk toReward Ratio.

I personally feel this works best from 7:00 GMT to about 20:00 GMT.

I have added the Pivot indicator as its very helpful to find theexpected levels of support and resistance without too much of headache.As a thumb rule, you should look to Long the Currency if the price isabove the Pivot Line and Short it if the price is below the Pivot Line.I will be explaining it more as we take this forward .


Indicators used :
LaGuerre 1 ( for entry ) - Gamma 0.55, levels 0.15, 0.85,0.45 bars to read 9500 color green
LaGuerre 2 ( for exits ) - Gamma 0.85, levels 0.15, 0.85, 0.45 bars to read 9500, color red
Bollinger bands - 20, 0 and close ( default) ( This is very imp indicator as in uptrend the middle bollinger acts as support and in downtrend it acts
as resistance )
Highly recommended - EMA 200 ( Red ) and EMA 60 (Blue) to find support and resistance
Pivot Points : To Find daily Profit levels and as indication of Support / Resistance ( Added 7th Oct 2007)
Level Stop Reverse Indicator - The indicator may also be used to determine stop points and to estimate when to reverse a position and take a trade in the opposite direction. ( Added 14th Oct 2007)


Rules for Entry & Exit
=============
Entry Long : when Laguerre 1 is above 0.15 and pointing up
When laguerre 1 is above 0.45 and going up ( if entry was not possible above )

Exit for Long is when Laguerre 2 goes to top and turns down to 0.85 or TP ( whichever is earlier )

Entry for Short : when Laguerre 1 is below 0.85 and pointing down
when laguerre 1 is below 0.45 and going down ( if entry was not possible above )

Exit for Shorts is when laguerre 2 goes to 0.0 Level and then turns up above 0.15 ( whichever is earlier )

TP is when you exit or 25 pips, whichever comes first
SL is 15 Pips from entry at all time

Pls rememeber, if you doing trades on 5 min chart, try to always moveur stop loss once u have 15+ pip profit, as market moves are very fastin gbp/jpy

so protect your profits at all time. Keep moving your stop loss every 10 pips or set trailing to 10 pips and sit back and relax.

P.s : I am online almost 8-10 hrs , so incase i dont reply , it will be coz i am off to bed, if not, i will surely reply to all

Guys while ur here and using this method, kindly take the poll and rate this thread also

Contribution by Bfriend - Member of this thread and Contributor
===================================  ============
I was answering some questions for someone via PM and I thought itmight be good to post it in this thread. Basically, it's my rules forthis strategy. For some of you (especially the regulars) this info isbasically common sense to you. It goes without saying, you take it forgranted...it's second nature. However, for most traders, it's somethingno one has really told them. It's easy to come to this thread, skim it,and just think, "Hey, if the lags line up, I should trade. I'll makemoney every time just like Imrain."

The fact is, the lags are great, but they can't be used ALL the time.It's not that they're bad indicators (they're the BEST I've ever used),but no matter what kind of indicator you have, you just can't tradeduring certain conditions.

Anyway, here are my "rules" or the "conditions" that I'm speaking of:

1) Don't trade when the 60ema and 200ema are really narrow. Wait for it to break out first.

2) Don't trade when the market is slow (like right now). Right now theonly market that is open is Sydney, and it doesn't really affect thiscurrency. Ideally you want 2 markets to be open. The best time is whenUK and Japan are open at the same time, or UK and US are open at thesame time. You can trade at other times, but just make sure there isdecent volatility / momentum.

3) Don't trade 30 mins before or after news.

4) If there's BIG news coming, it might not be good to trade for hoursbefore because the market just stalls and goes nowhere (same problem as#2). This is because it's waiting for the news announcement. In thiscase, don't trade until after the news.

5) Don't trade if you're up against a barrier. This includes the dailyR1 R2 R3, daily S1 S2 S3, daily pivot, and weekly pivot. It's also goodto look at the 15min 60ema and 200ema to see if you're close to them aswell. I also recommend treating the "00's" (239.00, 238.00, etc.) asbarriers. I call them psychological barriers, and it's really justcommon sense. Just think about when you have a $100 bill. You're lesslikely to spend it. Once you finally decide to break the $100 bill,you'll usually spend your smaller bills much more quickly. This is justhuman nature, and well, the forex market is driven by human beings.

Instead of just thinking of the barriers as times not to trade, usethem to your advantage. Wait for a currency to either break through thebarrier or bounce off it. If it does this, you should still wait forthe lags to give you a signal.

So really, this doesn't leave much to trade. Some days are better thanothers, but today for example, there hasn't been a single good / safetime to trade since I woke up. Today was particularly bad in thatregard. Like an idiot, I broke my rules and tried to trade anyway...andI lost.

If you just follow those basic rules and only trade when all of therules are met, the lags work every single time. I've never had a losingtrade when I followed my rules. If I had better discipline I could bedoing 90%+ successful trades. Today, my discipline was very lacking andit cost me. Rules keep you from making bad decisions, but emotions keepyou from following your rules. Trading with emotion is never good, butin reality, 99% of us will never be able to trade without emotion. Aslong as you can keep your emotions in check enough to follow yourrules, you can be a successful trader.                                   

[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 1-11-2008 05:48 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

我try过很多indicator，有isakas kuskus，dolly，golven v3，海豚，brain system。。。。

当然他们都有自己的获利方法，但有些就是filter不够多，有些就太多indicator，有些就太多alert太吵

因人而异的啦，就好像isakas kusksu就有人冒用改名为kuasa forex，开班教人，卖indicator

我给的这system蛮simple，但别忽略average movement line 和 resistant/support/pivot line。

希望大家happy trading


[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 15-6-2008 09:10 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

我还是那句，如果这indicator不适合你们，就别勉强了，看我#2的帖就知道

还有就是先学一些基本的吧，candlestick能帮助大家更准确的找到long/short entry，还有就是别贪，任何trade都要放stop loss，而且stop loss要到了也别改，这样只会使你掉入无底深潭，亏的就让它去，把他赢回来就是了。

money management也很重要，要看自己的margin，一次一个trade，别买一个trade就让你burn acc的lot，我个人认为估计一个trade输max10%就够了，一点一点赢，到回本了慢慢feng也没关系

p/s:
我不是一个身家百万的trader，我只是一个在学习的beginner
虽然我没什么说服力，但我会把我那一点点所学的分享
I don't mind to share，我希望大家一起学习一起讨论一起赚钱



[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 15-6-2008 09:09 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

原帖由 三叉 于 15-6-2008 07:36 PM 发表
谢谢mancai的分享！我也有玩外汇，也是在ibfx.请多多指教！

多多指教~有什么好东西就一起分享吧

mancai

http://www.sendspace.com/file/zbrgk0

这是一个好东东，把他attach到你要的chart
记得要选allow import dll
它只会把相关的新闻显示在你的chart
告诉你这新闻离现在几久了
还告诉你是major news什么的
不过我的老电脑用了有点慢，或许你们可以try看吧

liew3289

交易的本质就是概率,如果你违背了这个思想,你就永远无法取得成功,你会陷入无法自拔的境地.
很简单的说,比如你的成功率是80%,那么当你错一次之后,你就会反复的思考这次错到底是错在那里,我该用什么方法可以避免这个错误,突然间感觉到这个指标可以避免错误,然后下次又开始用这个,然后在某段时间,还可以,下次错了,你又会产生上面的思考,换用其他的,发现上次哪个可以避免这次错误,然后你会想,2个都用,可是后来还是错,这样,你会不断的陷入更换方法的困境中,无法自拔,何不真的把这个当作一个概率事件来做呢？？？

liew3289

多多指教,有好东西就一起分享,mancai的交易策略有什么原则吗？

mancai

原帖由 liew3289 于 15-6-2008 09:38 PM 发表
交易的本质就是概率,如果你违背了这个思想,你就永远无法取得成功,你会陷入无法自拔的境地.
很简单的说,比如你的成功率是80%,那么当你错一次之后,你就会反复的思考这次错到底是错在那里,我该用什么方法可以避免这个 ...

就如我之前说的indicator只是一个方便的工具
基本的candlestick，MACD，RSI，Bolinger Bands和STOCH才是王道
我try那么多indicator不是因为不适合才换
是从里面看看为什么他们要用这种概念，然后我可以从中学习
这也是我不断看书学习的原因，我需要从失败中让我知道自己的不足
然后就吸取更多的来填补自己的不足

其实很多人都会遇到适合自己的indicator system
就好像我同事的老朋友，就靠一个indicator system 3年里赚到3.2M身家，现在日赚RM10000。
某些人就是有这种能耐，你觉得他那样也能赢，迟早会瓜，但他却已经是百万富翁了
同人不同命，同鸟不同柄

liew3289

努力作吧,也许你可以花很短的时间学到别人需要3---5年走完的路程,在坚持原则,也许你可以学到别人需要10--20年需要的经验.
已有的,还会有,已做的,复去做.阳光之下没有新的东西,即使我们会说,看呀,这是新的,它却早已存在,引用江恩,我亲爱的朋友们,相信这个话,坚持概率原则,遵守游戏规则,你会作的很好！！

mancai

原帖由 liew3289 于 15-6-2008 09:52 PM 发表
多多指教,有好东西就一起分享,mancai的交易策略有什么原则吗？

没有信心就别下手，由小做起，输了也别乱脚步
多看看书，让你不常输
一定要止损，别因小失大导致损手烂脚
金钱管理很重要，一天要有自己的target profit，赚到就收手
别贪，贪字得个贫
也要有自己输的target，到了就停下来歇一歇
思考自己错在哪里吧。


呵呵，几押韵下，其实都大同小异的啦，不是吗？
新手玩小小aim短线，超短线看就好啦，别那么贪

三叉

下了！谢谢mancai。我要好好的研究一下！暂时我的交易方法是用chart pattern,candlestick,support & resistant,几条ema 和 gmma.

liew3289

下面说说我的实际操作,1.根据自己的方法列出一个清单,比如说我吧,是否是阻力与支撑,是否有信号,趋势怎么样,然后用你的笔记本写上,每日一篇,要做单的时候,把满足的打上勾,当全部满足之后,就下单,否则不下.

liew3289

2.把帐户分为20份,在这20份中,如果前10次可以作到稳定不亏,就说明方法过关.如果出现小亏,先不能去修改方法,先去总结下这10次是怎么做,再次回忆,看看哪个环节出问题,找出根本原因,在来改进,所以每天的总结是很重要的,切记. 如果10次中连续错误6次,停止交易,改进方法.但一定要记得,无论方法在成功,都要分为20份,人都会犯低级错误的话,一次很大意的错误,就会把你打回原形.

liew3289

3.身边放杯茶,或者比较清爽的饮料,下单后,喝口茶,轻松下,别把单独的一次看的太重要了.努力作到无所谓,只要亏损在你承受的范围内,你都该高兴.

mancai

哇。。。你还蛮严格的，的确是fulltime trader
我六点半起身去上班，有时回到家到七八点晚上了
吃了晚餐都没有什么力了。

我最大的问题是“累”，所以累导致我很容易出错
一次出错足以差点让我出场

还有就是我住的地方wireless很差
试过两次下了单后发现connection 0kb
disconnect后connect不回
最糟是还没set SL，就这样几小时后去了荷兰

其实我个人觉得M30很好trade
如果有规律的波浪，画个trendline就大概可以知道下一个support/resistant

我之前做超短线M1，每天做35pips，但真的很累，会忽然睡去
所以还是回到M30，看准时机就下单，看上下幅度set SL TP就不理了。
真的没有精神好像我同事那样做M5，做完long就立刻short，short完立刻long
他可以每天获利最少30pips真的不是没有道理的

[ 本帖最后由 mancai 于 15-6-2008 11:26 PM 编辑 ]

mancai

原帖由 三叉 于 15-6-2008 10:15 PM 发表
下了！谢谢mancai。我要好好的研究一下！暂时我的交易方法是用chart pattern,candlestick,support & resistant,几条ema 和 gmma.

啊，很像中国人发明的海豚7.0，他是看price line穿越moving average line，他们叫什么金叉的
很多中国人在用，还出视频教学，每个月少可以得~20% profit